Presentations & Publications

Year	Title	Author(s)	Summary	Link (Paper)	Link (Presentation)	Keyword(s)
2024	Explosive Analysis	Ryan Webster, Robel Semunegus, Taylor Fountain, Daniel Larison, & Wendy Cassidy	This tool and the accompanying insights will enable senior leadership to negotiate with warfare centers and more easily measure performance.	Link	Link	Data Science, Parametric, Performance Management, Cost Tools, Regression
2024	Maximizing Analysis of Minimalized Datasets: Making the Most of a Data-Scarce Environment	Taylor Fountain & Obai Kamara	This topic will evaluate common methods to analyze minimalized datasets for developing defendable cost estimates and demonstrate the statistical impacts of their underlying assumptions.	Link	Link	Data-Driven, Methods, Monte Carlo, Parametrics, Regression, Uncertainty, Data Science
2024	Schedule Analysis Best Practices for Capital Projects	Dave Ingalls	This brief highlights best practices for the creation of a defendable schedule (IMS) baseline to enable actionable performance metrics during project execution.	N/A	Link	Schedule Health; Schedule Construction; Schedule Risk
2024	Schedule Risk at Early Acquisition	Gabriella Magasic & Sam Kitchin	This presentation will discuss how to address schedule risk in low maturity projects.	Link	Link	Program Management, Risk, Scheduling, Uncertainty, Analysis, SRA
2024	Surveillance Reviews vs. Integrated Baseline Reviews (IBRs)	Sam Kitchin, Dave Ingalls, & J. Greg Smith (Humphreys)	This presentation will compare and contrast these two types of review, demonstrating how and why they differ. Key terminology, stakeholders, artifacts, timeline, and intended results will be discussed.	N/A	Link	EVM Function Points, Performance Management, Program Management, Project Controls, Earned Value Management
2024	Triage the Sub-Projects: Calculating and Applying Portfolio Contingency	Stephen Koellner & Nick Peeples	This topic will explore methods for calculating portfolio contingency, using a tangible example to demonstrate.	Link	Link	Budgeting, Cost Management, Decision Analysis, Program Management, Project Controls, Uncertainty
2023	Scheduling Agile-Fall: Best Practices	Max Pessel	This presentation will demonstrate best practices for schedule construction in an Agile environment and its implications on cost, delivery, and performance.	N/A	Link	Schedule Analysis
2023	Spread Too Thin: Interpreting Coefficient Variation in Monte-Carlo Based Cost Models	Stephen Koellner	Realistic cost uncertainty bounds are key for mitigating cost-growth risks, this topic will identify and counter causes of CV thinning in bottoms-up cost models.	Link	Link	Cost Analysis; Data Analysis
2022	Preparing for Software Negotiations: Adding Value Through the IGCE Process	Ryan Webster & Stephen Koellner	The brief outlines how Augur has supported vendor negotiations and implemented cost savings and avoidance.	N/A	Link	Cost Analysis; Performance Management
2017	Merge Bias and Correlation Applied to Schedule Risk Assessments (SRAs)	Noah Ashbaugh	The brief explains the basics of SRAs, merge bias and its impact on schedule planning, and how correlation can be used and its impact on SRA results.	N/A	Link	Schedule Analysis; Performance Management